The Window.
thewindow.fyi
A civic risk tracker
14 indicators · 5 categories · updated weekly The window doesn't announce when it closes.
Current risk score
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0 stable25 prepare50 accelerate75 go soon100 too late
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0–24Stable
25–39Prepare
40–54Early warning
55–69Accelerate
70–100Go soon
Score history
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Weekly risk score history.
US domestic
International press
Financial intelligence

Mobility & exit freedom

30 points
Exit controls on citizens
max 10 pts
Any executive order or law restricting U.S. citizens from leaving. INA §215(a) is the legal mechanism to watch. International press reports U.S. legal changes before domestic outlets frame them accurately.
None Full ban 0/10
Passport issuance
max 8 pts
Delays, denials, or selective holds. Over 10 weeks nationally = yellow. Freezes for categories of people = red. Canadian and UK press report this faster than U.S. outlets.
Normal Frozen 0/8
Outbound flight disruption
max 6 pts
International route cancellations, outbound travel bans, or sudden airline capacity drops of 30%+. Aviation industry press and European transport authorities catch this early.
Normal Halted 0/6
Soft practical barriers
max 6 pts
Your personal readiness: passports not renewed, no exit plan, no accessible funds, kids' logistics unresolved. You control this score entirely.
Ready Stuck 5/6

Community-specific risk — Latina / immigrant

25 points · elevated weight
Immigration enforcement intensity
max 12 pts
ICE interior operations, workplace raids, expanded deportation categories. Latin American press covers U.S. immigration with a clarity domestic outlets rarely match — they are reporting on their own people.
Low Mass ops 6/12
Legal status protections eroding
max 8 pts
DACA elimination, TPS termination, citizenship-by-birth challenges, removal of due process. Affects your household even if you hold full citizenship. UN human rights bodies track this in real time.
Intact Stripped 4/8
Anti-Latino rhetoric normalized
max 5 pts
Official government language that dehumanizes Latino communities. Rhetoric → policy → enforcement is the documented historical pattern. Spanish-language and international press name it faster.
None Systemic 3/5

Legal & political repression

20 points
Executive overreach & power expansion
max 8 pts
EOs testing constitutional limits or bypassing Congress. European constitutional scholars and international legal bodies analyze U.S. executive action with no domestic political stake.
Normal Unchecked 4/8
Criminalization of dissent or protest
max 7 pts
Arrests, prosecutions, or terrorist designations tied to speech or protest — not violence. CPJ and RSF are the gold standard here. They have no American political loyalties.
None Systematic 2/7
Judiciary independence
max 5 pts
Courts blocking executive action = low score. Courts captured or judges targeted = escalate. The Venice Commission and World Justice Project apply the same frameworks globally.
Independent Captured 2/5

Money & capital signals

15 points
Banking & capital controls
max 8 pts
Restrictions on wire transfers, limits on moving money abroad, account freezes by political category. This traps people financially before physically. FT and offshore finance press detect this first.
Free Frozen 0/8
Corporate capital flight
max 7 pts
Major companies relocating HQs, shifting legal domicile, or citing political risk in earnings calls. Money moves before people do. European and Asian financial press track this without cheerleading.
Stable Exodus 1/7

International signals

10 points
Allied travel advisories for the U.S.
max 6 pts
Canada, UK, EU, Australia issuing caution or "reconsider travel" for the U.S. These governments have no incentive to exaggerate. They update based on risk to their own citizens and see the U.S. clearly from outside.
Normal Leave now 1/6
U.S. diplomatic & global isolation
max 4 pts
Sanctions against the U.S., expulsion from bodies, allies building workarounds. The UN, EU Parliament, and OECD publish assessments with no domestic editorial filter.
Integrated Isolated 1/4
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